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While the US Census Bureau doesn’t publish population projection data, each state individually produces projections that state agencies use to make policy decisions and that businesses can use to make business decisions. We include the population forecast data in Radius Reports and when requested in Custom Data projects. Below are 50 of our favorite population projection datasets for counties for each state in the US.

StateProjection YearsAgency that Produces Population ProjectionsLast Updated
Alabama2020-2040University of Alabama Center for Business and Economic Research2018
Alaska2019-2045Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development2018
Arizona2018-2055Arizona Commerce Authority2018
Arkansas2014-2065UALR Arkansas Economic Development Institute2015
California2019-2060California Department of Finance2019
Colorado2018-2050Colorado Department of Local Affairs2018
Connecticut2020-2040Connecticut State Data Center2018
Delaware2020-2050Delaware Population Consortium2018
District of Columbia2020-2045Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments2018
Florida2020-2045Florida Office of Economic and Demographic Research2019
Georgia2018-2063Georgia Governor’s Office of Planning and Budget2019
Hawaii2020-2045Hawaii State Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism2018
Idaho2016-2026Idaho Department of Labor2018
Illinois2020-2030Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity2017
Indiana2020-2050Indiana Business Research Center2018
Iowa
Kansas2014-2044Wichita State University, Center for Economic Development and Business Research2016
Kentucky2020-2040Kentucky State Data Center2016
Louisiana2010-2030Louisiana Division of Administration2008
Maine2021-2036Maine Department of Administrative and Financial Services2018
Maryland2015-2045Maryland Department of Planning2017
Massachusetts2015-2040University of Massachusetts Donahue Institute2018
Michigan2020-2045Michigan Department of Technology, Management and Budget2019
Minnesota2015-2050Minnesota State Demographic Center2017
Mississippi2020-2050The State Data Center of Mississippi2019
Missouri2010-2030Missouri Office of Administration2008
Montana2018-2060Montana Department of Commerce2019
Nebraska2015-2050Nebraska Center for Public Affairs Research2015
Nevada2019-2038Nevada Department of Taxation2019
New Hampshire2020-2040RLS Demographics, Inc.2016
New Jersey2019-2034New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development2016
New Mexico2020-2040University of New Mexico, GeoSpatial and Population Studies2017
New York2018-2040Cornell University2018
North Carolina2019-2039North Carolina Office of State Budget and Management2019
North Dakota2020-2040North Dakota Department of Commerce, Census Office2016
Ohio2020-2050Ohio Development Services Agency2018
Oklahoma2012-2075Oklahoma Department of Commerce2012
Oregon2019-2069PSU, College of Urban & Public Affairs2019
Pennsylvania2015-2040Pennsylvania State Data Center2014
Rhode Island2020-2040Rhode Island Statewide Planning Program2018
South Carolina2010-2035South Carolina Department of Revenue and Fiscal Affairs2012
South Dakota2010-2035South Dakota State University2012
Tennessee2019-2070University of Tennessee Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research2019
Texas2018-2050Texas Demographic Center2018
Utah2015-2065Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute2017
Vermont2020-2030Vermont Agency of Commerce and Community Development2013
Virginia2020-2040Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service at the University of Virginia2019
Washington2018-2040Washington Office of Financial Management2017
West Virginia2020-2030West Virginia University Bureau of Business and Economic Research2017
Wisconsin2015-2040Wisconsin Demographic Services Center2013
Wyoming2019-2040Wyoming Department of Administration & Information2019
50 of our Favorite Population Forecasts by County Datasets

County Projections are handy and all, but what I really want are Population Projections by Cities.

I hear you! The smaller the geography, the better…as long as the data are accurate, right?

The first stop in your hunt for population forecasts for cities is to check the agency website in the table above. Some state agencies, like Arizona, provide population projections for cities along with counties. Be aware they might use an unexpected name for cities like sub-counties or places. So you’ll want to do some digging through data files here rather than just reading the file names. After digging and if you still don’t find the data you need, continue your search with the two options below.

If you need population projections for just 1 city…

You can often find population projection data for 1 city in the city’s comprehensive plan, and here’s how.

  1. Search for the city’s comprehensive plan in Google (e.g. City of Austin comprehensive plan).
    1. TIP! Sometimes, you have to navigate to the city’s website & then search for the plan on their site. It’s usually linked from the planning department’s webpage.
  2. When you find the plan, search in the text of the plan for the words “projection” or “population”.
    1. TIP! If the text of the plan isn’t searchable, look in the table of contents. Usually, there’s a section in the table of contacts that’s titled “environment” or “population.” Sometimes, this section is in an Appendix, but usually, it’s at the very beginning of the document. Read through only this section of the plan to see if you can find population projection data.
  3. Also consider how old the plan is. If the plan is older than 2010, consider looking for this data on the MPO’s website (next step) first and then coming back to the comprehensive plan if you can’t find it on the MPO’s website.  

If you need population projections for multiple cities in a region…

The metropolitan planning organization (MPO) often publishes population projections for multiple cities in a region to estimate traffic demand. MPOs are federally mandated and funded transportation policy-making organizations in the United States that are made up of representatives from local government and governmental transportation authorities (source). To find population forecasts in MPO planning documents, first you have to figure out if your city is in an MPO and if so, which MPO.

  1. If you don’t already know, do a Google search for what county the city is in (e.g. “What county is Austin, Texas in?”).
  2. Then google search for what MPO the county is in.
    1. TIP! You may have to google for a “map of MPOs for the state of _____” and use the map to figure this out.
  3. Go to the MPO’s website and find the long range transportation plan. It’s usually called something like MPO Year Plan (e.g. CAMPO 2040 Plan) or 2040 transportation plan.
  4. Open the plan, and search for the words “projection” or “population”.
  5. Sometimes, the population projections in the plan are for cities. Other times, the population projections are for Traffic Analysis Zones (or TAZs). If we can’t find population projections for cities, you can use the Traffic Analysis Zone map. See the sample below for what a TAZ population projection map could look like.

Don’t Have Time to Pull This Data Yourself?

Whew! Still reading? I’m impressed.

So if you’ve gotten this far and you’re thinking, “Yeah, sure I could pull all of this data myself in a couple of days, but I have other important things to do and I really don’t want to sift through all of the data dictionaries, methodology statements and tool instructions to make sure that I have the most current data for my area of interest,” you are not alone. You sound just like our other clients at Cubit who depend on us to provide clean, accurate and easy-to-work-with data as well as human-to-human customer support. You can get population projections, as well as hundreds of other data points, in a custom data pull. Prices start at $299 with a 3 business day turnaround. Tell me what data you need for what geography & I’ll get you a free quote & turnaround estimate.