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Population Projections by County and by City for the US

Planning Data Kristen Carney

Map showing population projection data by county and city across the US

Photo by Mario Purisic on Unsplash

Updated May 2025.

While the US Census Bureau doesn’t publish population projection data, each state individually produces projections that state agencies use to make policy decisions and that businesses can use to make business decisions. We include the population forecast data in Radius Reports and when requested in Custom Data projects. Below are 50 of our favorite population projection datasets for counties for each state in the US.

State Projection Years Agency that Produces Population Projections Last Updated
Alabama 2025-2050 University of Alabama Center for Business and Economic Research 2024
Alaska 2025-2050 Alaska Department of Labor and Workforce Development 2024
Arizona 2022-2060 Arizona Commerce Authority 2022
Arkansas 2014-2065 UALR Arkansas Economic Development Institute 2015
California 2024-2070 California Department of Finance 2024
Colorado 2025-2050 Colorado Department of Local Affairs 2024
Connecticut 2020-2040 Connecticut State Data Center 2017
Delaware 2025-2050 Delaware Population Consortium 2024
District of Columbia 2025-2050 Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments 2023
Florida 2025-2050 Florida Office of Economic and Demographic Research 2024
Georgia 2024-2060 Georgia Governor's Office of Planning and Budget 2024
Hawaii 2030-2050 Hawaii State Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism 2024
Idaho 2020-2029 Idaho Department of Labor 2020
Illinois 2025-2035 Illinois Department of Public Health 2024
Indiana 2025-2060 Indiana Business Research Center 2024
Iowa
Kansas 2022-2072 Wichita State University, Center for Economic Development and Business Research 2024
Kentucky 2025-2050 Kentucky State Data Center 2022
Louisiana 2010-2030 Louisiana Division of Administration 2008
Maine 2025-2040 Maine Department of Administrative and Financial Services 2023
Maryland 2025-2055 Maryland Department of Planning 2025
Massachusetts 2025-2050 University of Massachusetts Donahue Institute 2024
Michigan 2020-2045 Michigan Department of Technology, Management and Budget 2019
Minnesota 2024-2055 Minnesota State Demographic Center 2024
Mississippi 2020-2050 The State Data Center of Mississippi 2019
Missouri 2010-2030 Missouri Office of Administration 2008
Montana 2020-2060 Montana Department of Commerce 2021
Nebraska 2030-2050 Nebraska Center for Public Affairs Research 2022
Nevada 2024-2043 Nevada Department of Taxation 2024
New Hampshire 2025-2050 New Hampshire Office of Strategic Initiatives 2022
New Jersey 2019-2034 New Jersey Department of Labor and Workforce Development 2016
New Mexico 2025-2050 University of New Mexico, GeoSpatial and Population Studies 2024
New York 2018-2040 Cornell University 2018
North Carolina 2025-2060 North Carolina Office of State Budget and Management 2025
North Dakota 2020-2050 North Dakota Department of Commerce, Census Office 2024
Ohio 2025-2050 Ohio Development Services Agency 2022
Oklahoma 2020-2070 Oklahoma Department of Commerce 2023
Oregon 2025-2070 PSU Population Research Center 2024
Pennsylvania 2025-2050 Pennsylvania State Data Center 2023
Rhode Island 2020-2040 Rhode Island Statewide Planning Program 2018
South Carolina 2023-2042 South Carolina Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office 2025
South Dakota 2010-2035 South Dakota State University 2012
Tennessee 2022-2070 University of Tennessee Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research 2024
Texas 2022-2060 Texas Demographic Center 2022
Utah 2020-2060 Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute 2022
Vermont 2020-2030 Vermont Agency of Commerce and Community Development 2013
Virginia 2030-2050 Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service at the University of Virginia 2022
Washington 2025-2050 Washington Office of Financial Management 2022
West Virginia 2025-2050 West Virginia University Bureau of Business and Economic Research 2022
Wisconsin 2030-2050 Wisconsin Demographic Services Center 2024
Wyoming 2024-2050 Wyoming Department of Administration & Information 2025
50 of our Favorite Population Forecasts by County Datasets

If you need projections for counties in different states, you'll need to purchase projections that use the the same methodology so that they'll be apples to apples comparable. We've teamed up with Cooke Demographics to provide such county population projections that include age and sex data for years 2022-2047. Learn more about our County Population Projections here: Link

Other companies that we have worked with in the past that provide county population projection data are AGS (Applied Geographic Solutions), Woods & Poole Economics, Nielsen and ESRI.

County Projections are handy and all, but what I really want are Population Projections by Cities.

I hear you! The smaller the geography, the better...as long as the data are accurate, right?

The first stop in your hunt for population forecasts for cities is to check the agency website in the table above. Some state agencies, like Arizona, provide population projections for cities along with counties. Be aware they might use an unexpected name for cities like sub-counties or places. So you'll want to do some digging through data files here rather than just reading the file names. After digging and if you still don't find the data you need, continue your search with the two options below.

If you need population projections for just 1 city…

You can often find population projection data for 1 city in the city’s comprehensive plan, and here’s how.

  1. Search for the city's comprehensive plan in Google (e.g. City of Austin comprehensive plan).
    1. TIP! Sometimes, you have to navigate to the city's website & then search for the plan on their site. It's usually linked from the planning department's webpage.
  2. When you find the plan, search in the text of the plan for the words "projection" or "population".
    1. TIP! If the text of the plan isn't searchable, look in the table of contents. Usually, there's a section in the table of contacts that's titled "environment" or "population." Sometimes, this section is in an Appendix, but usually, it's at the very beginning of the document. Read through only this section of the plan to see if you can find population projection data.
  3. Also consider how old the plan is. If the plan is older than 2010, consider looking for this data on the MPO's website (next step) first and then coming back to the comprehensive plan if you can't find it on the MPO's website.

If you need population projections for multiple cities in a region…

The metropolitan planning organization (MPO) often publishes population projections for multiple cities in a region to estimate traffic demand. MPOs are federally mandated and funded transportation policy-making organizations in the United States that are made up of representatives from local government and governmental transportation authorities (source). To find population forecasts in MPO planning documents, first you have to figure out if your city is in an MPO and if so, which MPO.

  1. If you don't already know, do a Google search for what county the city is in (e.g. "What county is Austin, Texas in?").
  2. Then google search for what MPO the county is in.
    1. TIP! You may have to google for a "map of MPOs for the state of _____" and use the map to figure this out.
  3. Go to the MPO's website and find the long range transportation plan. It's usually called something like MPO Year Plan (e.g. CAMPO 2040 Plan) or 2040 transportation plan.
  4. Open the plan, and search for the words "projection" or "population".
  5. Sometimes, the population projections in the plan are for cities. Other times, the population projections are for Traffic Analysis Zones (or TAZs). If we can't find population projections for cities, you can use the Traffic Analysis Zone map. See the sample below for what a TAZ population projection map could look like.
Sample Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZ) population projection map

Don’t Have Time to Pull This Data Yourself?

Whew! Still reading? I’m impressed.

So if you’ve gotten this far and you’re thinking, “Yeah, sure I could pull all of this data myself in a couple of days, but I have other important things to do and I really don’t want to sift through all of the data dictionaries, methodology statements and tool instructions to make sure that I have the most current data for my area of interest,” you are not alone. You sound just like our other clients at Cubit who depend on us to provide clean, accurate and easy-to-work-with data as well as human-to-human customer support. You can get population projections, as well as hundreds of other data points, in a custom data pull. Prices start at $599 with a 3 business day turnaround. Tell me what data you need for what geography & I’ll get you a free quote & turnaround estimate.